Tech Bubble Warning
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In recent weeks, the technology sector has experienced a significant surge. Segments involving data processing, computation power, and software have seen remarkable growth, capturing the attention of investors. However, amidst this enthusiastic market, caution is advised. Entering the fray without careful consideration could lead to substantial risks, especially for those who may be eager to chase rising stocks.
The market appears to be sending positive signals, as indices experience fluctuations alongside a gradual evolution of healthy rotation within different sectors. As the spring season approaches, there’s an emerging optimism about potential growth opportunities.
I. Current Market Trends and Hot Topics
1. Another Surge in Greater Technology: Is it Time to Jump In?
The technology sector is currently a hot topic. However, rather than plunging in headfirst, many seasoned investors are considering reducing their holdings during peaks. Effective trading strategies grasp the importance of knowing when to buy low and sell high, especially when the market is showing signs of an impending correction.The right trading rhythm involves being decisive when undervalued opportunities arise while gracefully exiting when experiencing inflated conditions.
Certain sectors such as semiconductor chips and data processing are approaching critical resistance zones. Can they break through these levels with current market momentum? While it’s possible, the likelihood of immediate success seems low. A substantial rally often drains the buying power, necessitating a period of consolidation to build strength for a solid breakout. Pushing through without proper backing can result in a quick retreat after a fleeting spike, and this is why many are opting to scale back their positions at highs.
2. Healthcare and Pharmaceuticals Witness a Revival: Is It a Turning Point?
After a prolonged period of stagnation, the healthcare industry is finally enjoying a rebound, rallying for four consecutive days. The key question many are asking is whether this rise is a temporary spike or the start of a more sustained reversal.
From a demand perspective, the aging population is driving increased demand within the pharmaceutical sector. Indeed, a market of 1.4 billion people serves as a robust foundation for growth.
From a policy standpoint, government backing for innovative medicines, biotechnologies, and traditional Chinese remedies is strengthening, opening new avenues for growth within the industry.
Considering societal trends, as health consciousness rises along with China's economic recovery, there is a clear long-term expectation for profits to expand, and possible mid-term inflection points for earnings may also emerge this year.
In technical analysis, having completed a major corrective wave, the sector is poised for its next wave of growth.

Currently, the healthcare sector is at a historically low point, presenting an attractive risk-reward ratio. Adopting a medium-term hold strategy remains optimal, with plans to gradually accumulate shares on dips, maximizing benefits post-explosion while managing costs effectively.
II. Trading Strategies and Future Plans
Today, positions were increased in the China A50 index while reducing holdings in data-centric indices, with all other medium-term assets remaining untouched.
The China A50 is a steady investment that began in June last year and has now shown an 18.44% profit over an eight-month period.
Both the China A50 and the CSI 300 are emblematic indices of core Chinese assets. When compared, the A50 demonstrates more pronounced leadership traits, showcasing superior value and growth characteristics with a more balanced sector distribution.
The top ten weighted stocks within the A50 account for 52% of its composition, featuring industry leaders including CATL, Kweichow Moutai, and Heng Rui Pharmaceuticals, leveraging the concentrated leadership effect for growth benefits. Historically, the A50 has outperformed the CSI 300 in seven of the last ten years.
Companies with a market capitalization exceeding one billion yuan make up 82% of the A50 index, providing more robust profitability and resilience during economic fluctuations. Over the past three years, the average revenue growth rate stood at 11%, with a return on equity of 12.5%, both exceeding that of the CSI 300. With less than 1% of A-share companies, they contribute to 25% of the net profits market-wide, highlighting the concentrated earning power of leading firms.
The CSI 300 and the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 possess a considerable weight in traditional finance sectors, thus impacting growth potential negatively. The A50, in contrast, features a hefty allocation of nearly 49% in emerging industries—such as new energy vehicles, power equipment, and pharmaceuticals—significantly higher than the CSI 300’s 28%, enhancing its growth potential.
On a daily chart, a rebound has emerged supported by a moving average crossover, breaching previous resistance levels. While the market enters a consolidation zone, an explosive price movement seems unlikely; rather, a continued phase of oscillation appears more probable. Hence, investors ought to exercise patience, adjusting their approaches accordingly. The plan is to continue accumulating during dips as they arise.