In recent times, the global financial markets have been engulfed in what can only be described as a monumental storm: a significant depreciation of the Chinese yuan, while the U.S. dollar index continues to soar to new heightsThe yuan's exchange rate against the dollar is creeping closer to the critical threshold of 7.35, raising eyebrows and questions across the economic landscapeDoes this signify that the Chinese yuan is ‘coming down from its pedestal,’ or is it an indication of immense pressure confronting the Chinese economy?

At the same time, the suddenly shifting dynamics of U.S.-Russia relations have left many observers astonishedThe newly elected U.S. president's intention to lift sanctions on Russia hints at a subtle shift in the U.S. strategy amid the Sino-Russian chess gameReports suggest a profound transformation is underway in U.S.-Russia relations, potentially paving the way for a scenario of 'cooperation.'

What hidden implications lurk behind this emerging 'alignment' between the U.S. and Russia? Is it a signal of a restructuring of the global financial order, or just a masterful maneuver by the U.S.?

First and foremost, we must clarify one point: the depreciation of the yuan is not merely a simplistic outcome of ‘market competition.’ Indeed, the dominion of the dollar in the global currency market continuously applies immense pressure on other currencies.

However, as the world’s second-largest economy, China's currency fluctuations are often influenced by a multitude of factorsThe recent depreciation of the yuan could be seen as a necessary adjustment in response to both domestic and international economic pressures.

That being said, does this depreciation indicate the failure of China’s approach to 'de-dollarization'? The answer is an emphatic noThe yuan has not entirely disconnected from the global payments system

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China is actively promoting the internationalization of the yuan through various channels, including multilateral financial institutions, bond markets, and trade cooperation denominated in yuanThis reflects a steady ascent for the currency.

Even with the short-term depreciation, this does not spell the end of the yuan's internationalization process; rather, it could serve as an opportunity for China’s financial market to further open up and adapt to global changes.

So what does it mean when the newly elected U.S. president considers lifting sanctions on Russia? On the surface, this appears to be a diplomatic concession; however, deeper strategic considerations lie beneath the surface.

By addressing the 'Russia issue,' the newly elected president aims not only to break the current stalemate of international sanctions but to acquire more leverage in the global financial landscapeShould the president's plan materialize, it could potentially provide expansive avenues for reshaping the global financial order.

Is the newly elected president truly breaking away from Cold War thinking to ally with Russia? The real intentions behind this shift may be more complex than they appear.

The lifting of sanctions directly targets the increasingly close trade relationship between China and RussiaData shows that bilateral trade between China and Russia exceeded $240 billion in 2023, approaching one-third of the trade volume between China and the U.S.

Under the oppressive environment of U.S. sanctions, collaborative initiatives between Russia and China have deepened, indicating that the American strategy of economic pressure may be reaching its limitsInstead of continuing to expend resources trying to stifle Russia, why not seek collaboration on common objectives while simultaneously constraining China's rise?

However, the tactical maneuvers of the new U.S. administration must be approached with caution

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Russia, amidst a deepening strategic alliance with China, may not easily yield to U.S. engagementsThe future of U.S.-Russia relations relies heavily on the permanence of U.S. commitments; whether the newly elected president remains in office after four years poses a significant uncertainty.

The U.S. has multiple objectives in this evolving scenarioClearly, it aims not only to curtail China's power, but while reconciling with Russia, it seeks to garner broader support for maintaining U.S. global dominanceCurrently, America’s financial policy is in a state of 'extreme interest rate hikes,' compelling the global financial system to face even greater challengesIn reality, the proximity between the U.S. and Russia is underpinned by more intricate financial dynamics.

The U.S. aspires not just to execute a tariff war for ‘global harvesting,’ but also hopes that lifting sanctions will enhance economic ties with Russia, consequently undermining China's influence in Central Asia and the European market.

At the core of these strategies lies the need to control global capital flows and secure the continuance of U.S. dollar hegemonyIn this elaborate plan, the ‘cooperation’ with Russia appears to be a temporary tool, as the true adversary remains China—through various means, the U.S. seeks to heighten its economic containment efforts against Beijing.

While the U.S. maneuvers present a plethora of challenges, they are laden with risksThe implications of America's high-interest-rate policies serve as an 'injection' into the global economy, with these strategies giving rise to direct consequences such as the hemorrhaging of the global economy and mounting pressures from dollar-denominated debts.

The U.S. fiscal deficit has eclipsed a staggering $36 trillion, and prolonged interest rate hikes will only intensify future debt repayment burdens

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